Showing posts with label Financial Times. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Financial Times. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 9, 2015

Paul Volcker Warns On Health Of US State Finances

By Nicole Bullock, Jun. 8, 2015, CNBC News/Financial Times

Paul Volcker, former chairman of the Federal Reserve, has warned that US states rely on faulty practices to balance their budgets, masking the true nature of their finances and leading to poor policy making.

While states have returned to better health after the depths of the financial crisis and recession of the last decade, many remain under "heavy pressure," with overall tax revenues, adjusted for inflation, barely recovered from their pre-recession peaks.

"The continued fiscal stress is tempting states to continue, and even intensify, budgeting and accounting practices that obscure their true financial position, shift current costs on to future generations, and push off the need to make hard choices on spending priorities and revenue practices," Mr Volcker said in a report released on Monday by the Volcker Alliance, a government reform group he founded in 2013.


More: www.cnbc.com

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Monday, December 29, 2014

Christmas Returns Hit New High

Joel Lewin, Dec. 28, 2014, Financial Times

“The growth of ecommerce has been astronomical, but the processes to support the returns part of ecommmerce hasn’t matched it,” said Nila Patel, business development manager at Norbert Dentressangle, one of the UK’s largest parcel carriers.

Across ecommerce, returns average 15-20 per cent, although fashion eretailers see much higher rates of up to 50 per cent.

Read more: www.ft.com


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Saturday, December 6, 2014

Party Like It's 1929, S&P Hits 49th Closing High

Fast FT, Dec. 5, 2014, Financial Times

The S&P 500 notched its 49th record closing high of the year on Friday, as the benchmark index climbed 0.2 per cent to 2,075.55. The gain takes the number of record closes above those set in 1929, fueled in part by a blow out payrolls report that far exceeded Wall Street expectations.

Read more: www.ft.com



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Wednesday, December 3, 2014

Hillary Clinton’s Rickety Bridge To The White House

Edward Luce, Nov. 30, 2014, Financial Times

Without a credible economic plan, the US left risks being little more than a rainbow coalition. This is the danger facing Mrs Clinton’s candidacy. It is possible – perhaps even likely – that Republicans will select a nominee who has alienated so many Americans that he will be unable to compete in a general election. 


It is also plausible that Mrs Clinton will appeal to enough women, Hispanics and others to ensure her electoral maths are prohibitive. That is the working theory. Unless Mrs Clinton can find a positive story to engage America’s middle classes it is the only one that is likely to work in practice.

Read more: www.ft.com


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Saturday, May 24, 2014

Chris Giles, Economics Editor
 Financial Times
By Tom Blumner, May 23, 2014, Newsbusters.org

French economist Thomas Piketty has become a darling of the left for allegedly "proving" that, as paraphrased by Chris Giles at the Financial Times, "wealth inequalities are heading back up to levels last seen before the first world war." The Media Research Center's Julia Seymour has described Piketty as a "'rock star' of the far-left," an accurate assessment given praises heaped upon his book and especially his public policy prescriptions by the likes of Alternet and Vox's especially gullible Matthew Yglesias. Seymour also notes that Piketty's work has received a great deal of favorable notice in the establishment press, and that he has met "with the Treasury Secretary" and "(President) Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers."

Of course these "oligarch groupies," as Jeffrey Lord describes them, love him. Piketty favors an 80 percent tax on incomes above $500,000 and a progressive global tax on real wealth (i.e., after subtracting debt). The problem is that FT's Giles, having done a deep dive into the economist's data and spreadsheets, has found serious problems in the professor's work which nullify his conclusions.

Giles has documented his findings in a summary article and a thoroughly detailed blog post. He has found "a series of errors that skew his (Piketty's) findings" consisting of "mistakes and unexplained entries in his spreadsheets."

Here are several paragraphs from Giles's summary published early Friday afternoon (Eastern Time US):

... The data underpinning Professor Piketty’s 577-page tome, which has dominated best-seller lists in recent weeks, contain a series of errors that skew his findings. The FT found mistakes and unexplained entries in his spreadsheets, similar to those which last year undermined the work on public debt and growth of Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff.
The central theme of Prof Piketty’s work is that wealth inequalities are heading back up to levels last seen before the first world war. The investigation undercuts this claim, indicating there is little evidence in Prof Piketty’s original sources to bear out the thesis that an increasing share of total wealth is held by the richest few. 
... In his spreadsheets ... there are transcription errors from the original sources and incorrect formulas. It also appears that some of the data are cherry-picked or constructed without an original source. 
... For example, once the FT cleaned up and simplified the data, the European numbers do not show any tendency towards rising wealth inequality after 1970. An independent specialist in measuring inequality shared the FT’s concerns. 
Contacted by the FT, Prof Piketty said he had used “a very diverse and heterogeneous set of data sources ... [on which] one needs to make a number of adjustments to the raw data sources. 
“I have no doubt that my historical data series can be improved and will be improved in the future ... but I would be very surprised if any of the substantive conclusion about the long-run evolution of wealth distributions was much affected by these improvements,” he said.

At the very least, Piketty has admitted that he didn't mind making "a number of adjustments to the raw data sources" without telling anyone that he had made them.

But it gets worse — much worse — once one looks at Giles's detailed blog post:

Read the full story:  www.newsbusters.org

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