One of the main signs of the health of the global and U.S. economies is its ability to absorb a blow, and shake it off. At least that's how Lakshman Achuthan of the Economic Cycle Research Institute sees it. That's something to consider in light of all the fretting and hang-wringing after the U.K. vote last week to exit the European Union.

ECRI is best known for analyzing business cycles using a variety of data points. The firm uses its proprietary Weekly Leading Index as part of a broader approach to forecasting recession probabilities based on the universe of expansions, plateaus and contractions over time. It is less focused on any single economic data point, and instead uses the idea of long cycles to determine what is most likely to come next.

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