Senate Update: Rubio Is Keeping The Republicans’ Hopes Alive In The Senate
By Five Thirty Eight,Oct 27, 2016
Democrats’ chances of taking over the Senate continue to hold relatively steady — 67 percent in both our polls-plus and polls-only models. Republicans still have a real shot at keeping their majority, and one reason is that Democrats have been unable to put Florida in play. Most Democratic Party money has been pulled from the state, where Sen. Marco Rubio has an 81 percent chance of beating Democratic U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy according to polls-plus. That pullback has frustrated Democrats from Bill Clinton to Harry Reid. But a look at the numbers suggests that Democrats were probably right to cede Florida to the GOP.