Monday, November 3, 2014

Dems sure tried to get him

Scott Walker Surges To 50-43% Lead Over Mary Burke

Gov. Scott Walker
By John Bolte, Oct. 29, 2014,

Two weeks ago, among likely voters, the widely-respected Marquette Law School poll showed the gubernatorial race in Wisconsin all tied up at 47% among likely voters between Democrat Mary Burke and incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker. A poll released today, the last before Tuesday's election, shows Walker surging to a 50-43% lead.

The magic 50% mark for an incumbent is a very big deal.

This almost perfectly matches Walker's favorability rating in this poll, which is 50-46%. Walker's job approval among likely voters sits at 52-46%. Among registered voters, it's 49-47%.

The poll's internals show Burke up only six with women while Walker leads by 22 points with men.

Among registered voters, a less reliable screen, Walker is up by only 1 point, 46-45%.

Momentum at this point in the race is crucial. Walker appears to be peaking at just the right time.

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